Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.010657 0.012914 0.015756 0.019687 0.025132 0.032663 0.044359
2024-10-20 0.007836 0.010306 0.013824 0.019480 0.028974 0.045723 0.082038
2024-10-27 0.006709 0.009343 0.013444 0.020859 0.035511 0.068187 0.172563
2024-11-03 0.006035 0.008794 0.013416 0.022665 0.043962 0.104844 0.431120
2024-11-10 0.005547 0.008395 0.013473 0.024604 0.054334 0.166200 1.496756
2024-11-17 0.004956 0.007689 0.012769 0.024632 0.060004 0.227763 5.994389
2024-11-24 0.004446 0.007031 0.011994 0.024190 0.064104 0.299837 61.553840
2024-12-01 0.003914 0.006251 0.010818 0.022355 0.062143 0.331138 6696.987585
2024-12-08 0.003529 0.005698 0.010015 0.021255 0.062378 0.389899 NaN
2024-12-15 0.003280 0.005370 0.009630 0.021177 0.066972 0.534521 NaN
2024-12-22 0.003107 0.005167 0.009483 0.021733 0.075307 0.850364 NaN
2024-12-29 0.002946 0.004966 0.009303 0.022137 0.083736 1.410250 NaN
2025-01-05 0.002677 0.004546 0.008612 0.020935 0.083367 1.849867 NaN
2025-01-12 0.002487 0.004272 0.008237 0.020696 0.089575 3.403783 NaN
2025-01-19 0.002403 0.004206 0.008346 0.022197 0.111860 19.624085 NaN
2025-01-26 0.002341 0.004176 0.008545 0.024170 0.145928 NaN NaN
2025-02-02 0.002283 0.004148 0.008739 0.026294 0.193879 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 0.002162 0.003963 0.008475 0.026325 0.217071 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 0.002038 0.003761 0.008128 0.025840 0.232110 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 0.001884 0.003476 0.007506 0.023830 0.212944 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.001766 0.003264 0.007073 0.022629 0.208227 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 0.001687 0.003139 0.006878 0.022544 0.227983 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 0.001633 0.003066 0.006821 0.023151 0.270446 NaN NaN